Affected by the epidemic, the Spring Festival holiday is extended, the movement of personnel is limited, and the resumption of work is delayed in various places. The short-term impact of the epidemic on China's economy is inevitable. In particular, the current short-term decline in consumer demand has had a significant impact on the catering, tourism, entertainment and other service industries in many areas. Experts generally believe that market players seriously affected by the outbreak are facing greater pressure for survival, especially small and medium-sized manufacturing and service enterprises, which deserve attention.
Yang liqiang believes that the decline in consumer demand may lead to some small and medium-sized enterprises due to lack of order cash flow problems. It should be noted that the limited flow of personnel also directly or indirectly leads to the rise of national logistics costs. While pushing up prices in the short term, it may also lead to the impact of some enterprises' supply chains and rework after the holiday, which will raise the production costs of enterprises. Wang xiaoguang believes that some small micro-service enterprises or because it is difficult to bear short-term impact, may be closed down.
In addition, export and investment activities may be affected during the outbreak. Wang chenwei said that objectively speaking, some countries may limit the spread of the epidemic and impose restrictions on China's exports for a period of time. At the same time, investment activities may slow down, because many economic activities will be restricted recently, the early application procedures for investment projects may be delayed, directly affecting the progress of project construction.
"In the context of the current economic downward pressure, the government needs to be some pertinent measures, especially the need for small and medium-sized enterprises, affected the larger industries, in terms of taxes and fees, financial and social security supportive policies, help specific businesses, industries, regions and people through, to reduce the impact on China's economic development. The outbreak" "Wang said.
Sheng chaoxun, deputy director of the industry institute of the China academy of macroeconomic research, said that on the one hand, Banks should give profits to the real economy and reduce financial costs by cutting interest rates. Whether for personal loans or corporate loans, they should be granted a special period of extension, to avoid capital chain rupture, leading to the bankruptcy of enterprises or individuals. On the other hand, don't drink poison to quench your thirst. We will adhere to the policy of "no speculation in housing".
Yang liqiang said that after the outbreak ended, measures such as tax cuts and subsidies should be adopted to further stimulate consumption, support and help affected service enterprises to resume production and operation, and relieve employment pressure. Through various forms of policy measures to support the affected manufacturing enterprises and foreign trade enterprises.
While the short-term impact of this outbreak on the economy is inevitable, we should not overstate its negative impact. We should see potential positive factors, such as the efforts of some industries to turn crisis into opportunity.
"Under the influence of the epidemic, e-commerce, e-government, home office, virtual conference/business, online teaching and other new formats and models will usher in a new round of rapid development." Yang liqiang believes that the application of cutting-edge technologies such as Internet, artificial intelligence and big data will further penetrate and expand into various fields such as public life, business operation, government management and education and training. He pointed out that the improvement and reform of the disease prevention and control system and the development of related industries will also become important economic growth points after the outbreak.